Zebra Technologies Corporation

ZBRA · NASDAQ · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q2 FY2026

Zebra's customers want more product than it can build. Management has raised guidance twice, then guided to the midpoint of its own range because it cannot guarantee the memory chips inside its devices, so the beat is a supply story, not a demand one. How much of Zebra's revenue comes from products limited by memory supply?

  • Demand is running ahead of what Zebra can actually build.

    Organic growth more than doubled to 9%, and management says customer demand sits at the top of its range while the guide sits in the middle. Only memory chips hold it back; every time the team secured more, it beat the top end. Which product lines lost sales to the memory shortage this year?

  • Zebra has pricing power it did not have before.

    Memory chips got expensive and Zebra passed the cost on, lifting the value of its price increases to $90 million a year. For a company whose devices normally get cheaper each year, being able to charge more is the real change.

  • Most of this year's growth is bought, not earned.

    Eight points of the raised outlook come from Elo, Photoneo and currency moves, and the multiyear transport-and-logistics refresh does not begin until 2027. Strip those out and the underlying business is growing in the mid-single digits. How does that underlying growth compare with Zebra's automation peers?

Bullish
  • Memory cost pass-through
    The bull case is that Zebra can keep raising prices to cover component inflation, so memory cost increases pressure competitors' margins rather than its own.
  • Broad-based end market demand
    Demand is spread across retail, manufacturing, healthcare and logistics, so no single end market has to carry the year and customers keep spending on hardware.
  • Machine vision and RFID
    Machine vision has returned to growth and RFID adoption keeps widening beyond apparel, adding faster-growing products to a hardware business that grows slowly on its own.
Bearish
  • Memory supply limits shipments
    The bear case is that demand is not the constraint, memory supply is, so revenue and margins depend on allocations from chipmakers that Zebra does not control.
  • Large refresh cycles deferred
    Large logistics and retail refresh projects keep moving to later years, leaving growth to come from smaller run-rate orders that are harder to forecast.
  • Acquisition-dependent growth
    Much of the reported growth comes from acquisitions and currency rather than existing operations, so the underlying business is expanding far more slowly.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$500KJul 20Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KMar 26May 13
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$500KMar 17May 13
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KMar 12May 13
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KMar 2May 13

Congressional trading data provided by QuiverQuant

Product segmentsGeography
FY2024 · USD

How Zebra Technologies turned $5.0B of revenue into $742.0M of operating income.

Revenue
Enterprise Visibility Mobility, EVM$3.3B▲ 13.67% YoY
Asset Intelligence Tracking, AIT$1.6B▼ 0.24% YoY
Total revenue$5.0B
Gross profit$2.4B48.4%
Operating income$742.0M14.9%