The Hershey Company

HSY · NYSE · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q2 FY2026

Hershey is coming out of the cocoa shock faster than planned: shoppers absorbed the price rises, margins are rebounding, and cocoa turns into a tailwind for 2027. Management is spending that relief on brands and innovation instead of letting it all fall to profit. How much of the 2027 cocoa relief gets spent rather than kept?

  • The pricing held, and that is the entire recovery story.

    Prices rose about 10% and shoppers barely changed what they bought, so demand held better than the plan assumed. Profit beat expectations four quarters in a row — less lost volume means the higher prices turn into money. How much of the volume loss sits in seasons versus everyday candy?

  • The margin recovery is real and arriving ahead of schedule.

    Gross margin bottomed near 30% under the cocoa squeeze and hit about 45% in Q2 FY2026 — the quarter management calls the inflection, with more to come. The two-year cost squeeze is reversing in reported results, not just in guidance.

  • Hershey is losing chocolate share as rivals turn up the heat.

    North America confection sold at lower share than a year earlier, which management blamed on rivals' new products and displays arriving early. Extra in-store promotion is planned for the second half to win that ground back. How much of the share loss came from price gaps rather than rival innovation?

Bullish
  • Pricing holds better than planned
    Prices went up to cover cocoa and shoppers bought more than planned, so this year's plan pairs sales growth with a large earnings rebound.
  • Cocoa cost relief
    Cocoa costs are hedged above today's market but falling, which should let gross margin rebuild over the next few years without another round of price increases.
  • Salty snacks growth
    Salty snacks and added seasonal events give Hershey growth beyond chocolate, and both are winning shelf space from a flat category.
Bearish
  • Chocolate volume and share
    Higher prices have cost chocolate volume, and Hershey is losing share in its largest category even as competitors keep the pressure on.
  • Rivals add innovation faster
    Competitors are bringing innovation and in-store activity faster than expected, and price gaps to the largest rival have widened in some channels.
  • Snack supply and freight
    Freight, logistics and capacity problems in salty snacks are taking some of the margin recovery that cocoa relief was expected to deliver.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KJul 23Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KJul 17Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$250KJun 18Aug 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KMay 18Jul 1
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$1KMay 15Jul 1

Congressional trading data provided by QuiverQuant

Product segmentsGeography
FY2025 · USD

How The Hershey Company turned $11.7B of revenue into $1.4B of operating income.

Revenue
North America Confectionery Segment$9.5B▲ 3.96% YoY
North America Salty Snacks Segment$1.3B▲ 11.94% YoY
Total revenue$11.7B
Gross profit$3.9B33.5%
Operating income$1.4B12.3%