AutoZone, Inc.

AZO · NYSE · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q4 FY2026

AutoZone is now spending heavily to grow — a record store year and double-digit repair-shop gains — while its do-it-yourself shopper bought less. Everything turns on whether the new stores and repair shops pay off before that customer comes back. How much of FY2026 sales growth came from price rather than volume?

  • AutoZone's core retail customer is buying less.

    Domestic DIY sales went backwards in Q4 FY2026 and traffic has fallen more than 3% a quarter for a year, which management puts down to a stretched shopper deferring repairs. That leaves growth resting on price rather than more visits. How does DIY traffic this year compare with the last five years?

  • Repair shops, not car owners, are now doing the growing.

    Commercial sales rose about 11% for FY2026 and held double digits even in the weakest quarter. Repair shops are roughly a third of domestic sales now and earn less per dollar than retail, so the mix itself is a drag the company must outrun.

  • The spending is landing years before the payoff.

    AutoZone opened more stores this year than ever, and a new store takes four to five years to earn its keep. Return on capital has fallen from 47% to 31%, and management's answer has been to trim its FY2028 opening plan and slow Brazil. When do the stores opened in FY2026 start adding to profit?

Bullish
  • Commercial market share
    AutoZone holds only a small slice of a large commercial parts market, so steady share gains can keep total sales growing even while retail demand is soft.
  • Record store openings
    New stores are opening faster than ever and are selling ahead of the projections used to approve them, which supports the case that the capital is being spent well.
  • Mega Hub parts availability
    Holding more parts close to repair shops shortens delivery times, which professional customers value, and the company is only about halfway through building that network.
Bearish
  • DIY transaction declines
    Retail customers are buying less often because parts prices have climbed for two years, and management expects that only to fade gradually as inflation cools.
  • Store target cut
    Management cut its long-run store opening target and slowed expansion in Brazil, which suggests the pace of growth was set higher than the company can now support.
  • One-time tariff refunds
    A large tariff refund lifted reported margins and profit per share last quarter, so the underlying margin trend is weaker than the headline number suggests.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KAug 28Oct 8
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KAug 10Oct 8
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KJul 27Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$50KJul 23Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$15KJun 24Aug 22

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Product segmentsGeography
FY2025 · USD

How AutoZone turned $18.9B of revenue into $3.6B of operating income.

Revenue
Auto Parts Locations$18.9B▲ 4.34% YoY
Total revenue$18.9B
Gross profit$10.0B52.6%
Operating income$3.6B19.1%