McCormick & Company, Incorporated

MKC · NYSE · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q3 FY2026

McCormick is buying Unilever Foods to become a $20 billion flavor company while its U.S. consumer business stalls on price gaps and rising costs. It kept its 2026 outlook broadly intact, but higher inflation runs into 2027, so cost cuts have to do more of the work. How much of this year's sales growth came from Mexico rather than the base business?

  • The Unilever Foods deal is far larger than anything McCormick has bought before.

    Management calls it "strength plus strength": a business starting at 21% operating margin, with $600 million of annual cost savings as the main lever and most of the profit coming from cuts rather than from selling more. How much debt does McCormick carry now, and how fast is it paying it down?

  • Flavor Solutions now carries growth while the U.S. consumer business drags.

    Flavors sold to food makers drove volume growth and keeps expanding its margin as customers launch new products faster. U.S. grocery volumes fell on price gaps and trading down, and a packaging shortage could trim fourth-quarter volume. How do Americas consumer volumes compare with EMEA and Asia Pacific this year?

  • Cost inflation is still beating the plan, and management says it runs into 2027.

    Inflation was guided at mid-single digits in January; by Q3 management called it 6% to 7%, driven by freight, fuel and commodity costs. A fourth quarter of margin decline is implied, and the pressure is expected to continue next year.

Bullish
  • Unilever Foods combination
    The bull case is that adding Unilever Foods gives McCormick brands, distribution and chef relationships it could not build alone in emerging markets and food service.
  • Flavor Solutions innovation pipeline
    The bull case is that food and drink makers are rewriting recipes for health and value, and McCormick is winning that work and shipping it to shelves sooner than it expected.
  • Overseas volume growth
    The bull case is that steady volume gains in Europe and Asia show the brand and distribution model still works where household budgets are less stretched.
Bearish
  • US spice share losses
    The bear case is that McCormick is losing US spice and seasoning share to private label and newer brands, and closing the price gap costs margin.
  • Input costs outpacing pricing
    The bear case is that commodity, freight and tariff costs keep arriving faster than pricing and productivity can absorb them, so margins stay under pressure.
  • Leverage from the combination
    The bear case is that the company is taking on heavy debt and a large integration while its largest market is still losing volume.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$100KAug 21Oct 8
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$15KJul 27Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$1KJul 17Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KJun 24Aug 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KJun 16Aug 22

Congressional trading data provided by QuiverQuant

Product segmentsGeography
FY2025 · USD

How McCormick & Company, Incorporated turned $6.8B of revenue into $1.1B of operating income.

Revenue
Consumer$4.0B▲ 2.65% YoY
Flavor Solutions$2.9B▲ 0.51% YoY
Total revenue$6.8B
Gross profit$2.6B37.9%
Operating income$1.1B15.7%