Gartner, Inc.

IT · NYSE · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q2 FY2026

Gartner's subscription growth has stalled near the bottom of its range while management runs its biggest internal rebuild in years, promising the payoff arrives at renewal. Until it does, profit growth is being bought with repurchased stock, not earned. How is Gartner's contract value trending outside the U.S. federal government?

  • Growth stalled, and the whole plan now rides on it restarting.

    Contract value growth bottomed at 1% in Q4 FY2025, then accelerated two straight quarters to 2%. Clients renew on multi-year terms, so better retention takes a year or more to reach the number investors watch. How much of Gartner's rebound comes from lapping the federal government losses?

  • Gartner is rebuilding the research product clients actually pay for.

    Documents in the library are up 18% and publishing is 75% faster. Management calls it the most change Gartner has ever made at once. Engagement is rising, but clients only pay more when the contract renews.

  • Profit is being bought back, not earned.

    EPS rose 24% in Q2 FY2026 while revenue barely grew, because the share count fell 14% year over year. Buying back stock faster than the business grows lifts profit per share without fixing what stalled. How much debt can Gartner take on before buybacks stop driving earnings?

Bullish
  • Client engagement lifts retention
    The bull case is that clients who use Gartner's research more often renew at higher rates, so the research and digital improvements convert into contract value growth over time.
  • AI research demand
    Gartner sells independent guidance on AI and on routine executive decisions, and management says it holds its pricing and rarely loses a deal to AI tools.
  • Share count reduction
    Cash flow funds repurchases that shrink the share count, so per-share profit can grow even while revenue is barely expanding.
Bearish
  • Seat-based downsell
    The bear case is that clients keep renewing but cut seats and service levels, so spending per account and contract value growth stay stuck near the low end.
  • Longer sales cycles
    Budget scrutiny, longer approvals and now AI-related uncertainty stretch sales cycles, so pipelines build without converting into new business fast enough.
  • Buybacks funded with debt
    Repurchases are partly funded with borrowed money, which lifts interest costs and cuts the conversion of profit into free cash flow.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KJul 8Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$15KJun 24Aug 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KJun 23Aug 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$50KJun 18Aug 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$1KMar 26May 13

Congressional trading data provided by QuiverQuant

Product segmentsGeography
FY2025 · USD

How Gartner turned $6.5B of revenue into $1.0B of operating income.

Revenue
Events$644.7M▲ 10.55% YoY
Consulting$552.5M▼ 1.08% YoY
Total revenue$6.5B
Gross profit$4.5B68.8%
Operating income$1.0B15.8%