Aptiv PLC

APTV · NYSE · USD

Analysis

Last 4 earnings calls · through Q2 FY2026

Aptiv has split in two: the spun-off wiring business was nearly half its revenue, and what remains is a bet on software and non-automotive markets. But the car business it kept weakened faster than expected, forcing a guidance cut one quarter in. How much of what's left after the split is still car revenue?

  • The ramp management promised has not arrived, and it says it wasn't conservative enough.

    Aptiv cut its 2026 revenue outlook by $300 million after four calls promising a back-half ramp — mostly weaker China and European schedules plus delayed launches. It admits it was not conservative enough. How much of the 2026 cut came from China versus Europe?

  • Non-automotive is becoming a real business, faster than planned.

    Non-automotive revenue grew 12% in Q2 FY2026 while the car business was flat. The first drone program, won in July, is worth over $500 million across five years; management targets about $300 million a year from drones and robotics.

  • Rising material costs are passed on, but only months later.

    Copper, resin and memory chip prices all rose. Customers reimburse most of what Aptiv claims, but typically three to four months later, so until then the extra cost sits on Aptiv and margins stay flat. How much of the higher material costs is still unrecovered?

Bullish
  • Non-automotive market expansion
    Aptiv is redirecting its automotive sensing, compute and software into robotics, drones, energy storage and data centers, where management says growth and margins are better.
  • Robotics and drone commercial wins
    Management reports that these new markets are moving faster than expected, with commercial awards signed and revenue arriving in months rather than years.
  • Software and services mix
    Software and services keep growing at a double-digit rate and carry a higher margin than hardware, which improves the mix as that business gets bigger.
Bearish
  • China and Europe schedule cuts
    Chinese local automakers and European luxury brands keep cutting production schedules, and Aptiv's revenue tracks its customers' vehicle volumes almost directly.
  • Guidance credibility
    Forecasting has become unreliable: the growth target was cut within a quarter after launch assumptions proved too optimistic, so the second-half recovery is unproven.
  • Contractual price-downs
    Customer contracts require annual price reductions, so profit depends on the company finding enough manufacturing and material savings to offset them every year.
PoliticiansInstitutionsInsiders
PoliticianTransactionAmountTradedFiled
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KAug 28Oct 8
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$1KAug 10Oct 8
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Sale≥$15KJul 23Sep 22
Donald Trump
Republican · Executive
Purchase≥$15KMar 2May 13
John Boozman
Republican · Senate · AR
Purchase≥$1KJul 9Aug 17

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Product segmentsGeography
FY2025 · USD

How Aptiv turned $20.4B of revenue into $1.2B of operating income.

Revenue
Electrical Distribution Systems$8.8B
Engineered Components Group$6.7B
Advanced Safety and User Experience$5.8B▲ 0.02% YoY
Total revenue$20.4B
Gross profit$3.9B19.1%
Operating income$1.2B5.8%